ABP News Himachal Pradesh Exit Poll 18 december 2012.
neck and neck in Himachal: ABP News-Nielsen Exit Poll
ABP News-Nielsen Exit Poll predicts landslide victory for Modi Narendra Modi-led BJP in Gujarat is yet again set to trample the Congress party in the upcoming .
Prem Kumar Dhumal-led BJP government in Himachal Pradesh is facing a tough battle to douse the anti-incumbency sentiments in order to remain in power. ABP News-Nielsen Exit Poll has found that the two main parties – ruling BJP and Congress – are involved in a dead heat, with no clarity on who will form the next government in the state. According to the poll, the BJP is likely to win 32 seats in the 68 -member Assembly, a loss of 9 seats since 2007.
Himachal Pradesh polls 4th november 2012: HP Assembly elections began at 8 am on Sunday accross 68 constituency in himachal pradesh . Expectation of heavy polling percentage due to direct fight between ruling BJP and Opposition Congress party.
We can update live hamirpur polling booth live 2012
This is the First electoral battle between Congress and BJP after reforms on FDI The 2012 HP Assembly elections began at 8 am on Sunday. Main electoral issue is LPG cylinders and 51 per cent FDI in retail A total of 459 candidates are in the fray for the 68-member Assembly
Live Trends of Voting % from
shimla assembly constituency
palampur assembly constituency Shyam Sharan Negi to vote at kalpa assembly constituency
Lokmat HP Pre poll survey 2012. CSDS 2012 CNN-IBN & IBN7 bring pre-poll survey in Himachal Pradesh 2012 October 29 & 30
Who will form the Government in HP Election 2012 BJP or Congress?
survey shows BJP with 41% down 3% and Congress with 40% up 1%. A statistically dead-heat since in India though polls claim a + 3%, in reality it is near +5%.
Himachal Pradesh vote projection: Congress, BJP neck and neck
New Delhi: Himachal Pradesh has traditionally seen a straight contest between the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Congress and the 2012 Assembly election are going to be no different with the two involved in a bitter battle. The state will vote in a single phase on November 4, and the counting of the votes will take place weeks later, on December 20 along with Gujarat.
Even though the final seat tally in the 68-member state Assembly will be known only then, a pre-poll survey conducted by the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) for CNN-IBN shows that it will be a very close contest between the BJP and Congress, with 41 per cent of votes going to the BJP and 40 per cent to the Congress. So, although the BJP is a nose ahead of the Congress in terms of vote-share, its share has dropped from 2007, when the party won 41 seats in the 68-member state Assembly. The Congress ended with only 19 seats, although it had been the dominant party in the previous twenty years.
What will the vote shares mean in terms of number of seats? The pre-poll survey by CSDS, which interviewed 2014 voters from the latest electoral rolls between 14 October and 21 October in 119 locations in 30 Assembly constituencies spread across the state, does not offer seat projections. While the BJP has seen a three per cent decrease in its vote share, which stood at 44 per cent in 2007, the Congress has managed to gain only one per cent over its 39 per cent earlier. As for the other parties, their share is likely to rise from 17 per cent in 2007 to 19 per cent now.
Clearly, the 2012 Assembly election is proving to the most closely fought election in Himachal’s history. Never before have the two rivals come within striking distance of each other’s vote shares. Since 1982, the Congress and the BJP have had a difference of at least five percentage points, giving one of them a clear shot at power. This time, the other parties could make a difference.
Just how close could it be? Very. A closer look reveals that, of the 68 seats, the Congress is ahead in the 34 seats in the East Himachal region, which consists of the Lahaul Spiti, Kullu, Mandi, Solan, Sirmaur, Shimla and Kinnaur districts. The party is sitting comfortably in Shimla and adjoining areas, and is in a close contest with the BJP in Mandi, Sirmaur and Solan. In West Himachal, which account for the remaining 34 seats, the BJP has an edge in Hamirpur area and is facing a tough time in Kangra and Una. West Himachal consists of Chamba, Kangra, Hamirpur, Una, and Bilaspur districts.
While the contest is bound to be a closely fought one, the BJP can take comfort from the survey which shows that the pro-incumbency sentiment is stronger than anti-incumbency, though not by a wide margin. While 40 per cent of those surveyed were willing to give the BJP government of Chief Minister Prem Kumar Dhumal another chance, 34 per cent were against it. But 26 per cent of the surveyed voters are still undecided, and this could play a major role in the final outcome.
Even the race for the chief ministership is a close one with 34 per cent of the voters favouring the sitting CM Prem Kumar Dhumal, while his rival Virbhadra Singh of the Congress is snapping at his heels with 33 per cent. Only December 20 will reveal the verdict.
Congress vs BJP: Vote share over the yearsCongressBJP19821985199019931998200320073037445158YearsVote share (%)
Should the BJP Government get another chance?YesNoCan’t say/Noopinion40%26%34%
Regional pattern: East vs West
East Himachal (34)
Congress well ahead in Shimla area; close contests in Mandi, Sirmaur and Solan.
West Himachal (34)
BJP well ahead in Hamirpur area; close contests in Kangra and Una.
But the momentum is clear – it is away from the BJP and positive for the Congress. Accordingly, these figures should put a smile on Congress faces.
Secondly, a whopping 19% is accounted by others. In a case of a hung house, the Congress remains favourites in stitching together a coalition with other political parties and independents. In short, the Congress sits pretty.
BJP promise free induction plates (for cooking) to 14-lakh odd households to reduce pressure on LPG.
Creation of 10 lakh jobs and hike in daily wages from Rs 150 to Rs 250. The party has also promised an increase in daily wages to 250, reduction in the rate of interest for farm loans to 2% from 4% and advancing loans to those opting for self-employment at 2% interest, among other measures
BJP government in Himachal Pradesh has promised a slew of populist measures in its manifesto, released ahead of the upcoming assembly polls, including electric heaters for cooking gas users and free medicines in government hospitals.
Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha Congress Candidates List Election 2012 .
congress list of candidates for hp poll 2012. Virbhadra Singh for contesting the upcoming polls.
Member of Parliament (MP) to contest an Assembly Election, the Congress on Saturday gave green light to Virbhadra Singh for contesting the upcoming polls.
Congress first candidate list likely to be declared today evening 6 october 2012.
Congress had finalized the candidates for 45 Assembly seats,
Himachal Pradesh Congress president and former Union minister Virbhadra Singh will contest from Shimla (Rural).
Himachal Assembly Election Candidate List of Congress party
Click this to download complete list of Congress and BJP party :: http://hpelection2012.blogspot.in
Expected candidate Name District wise Assembly Seat candidate Name (Assembly constituency wise)
Nagrota Bhagwan Assembly Seat candidate Name :G.S. Bali
Jawali Assembly Seat candidate Name : Pending
Kangra Assembly Seat candidate Name :Pending
Jaisinghpur (SC) Assembly Seat candidate Name : Yadwinder Goma
Palampur Assembly Seat candidate Name : BBL Butail
Nurpur Assembly Seat candidate Name :Pending
Indora (SC) Assembly Seat candidate Name : Kamal Kishor
Fatehpur Assembly Seat candidate Name : Sujan Singh Pathania
Shahpur Assembly Seat candidate Name : Vijay Singh Mankotia
Dharamshala Assembly Seat candidate Name :Pending
Sulah Assembly Seat candidate Name :Jagjeevan Pal
Jawalamukhi – Pending
Baijnath (SC) Assembly Seat candidate Name :Kishori Lal
Dehra Assembly Seat candidate Name : Brig Rajinder Rana
JaswanAssembly Seat candidate Name :Pragpur –Nikhil Rajour
Jogindernagar Assembly Seat candidate Name : Surinder Pal
Mandi Sadar Assembly Seat candidate Name : Anil Sharma
Darang Assembly Seat candidate Name : Kaul Singh Thakur
Dharampur Assembly Seat candidate Name : Chander Shekhar
Sarkaghat Assembly Seat candidate Name : Rangila Ram Rao
Balh (SC) Assembly Seat candidate Name : Prakash Chaudhary
Nachan (SC) Assembly Seat candidate Name :T.C. Dogra
Sundernagar Assembly Seat candidate Name : Sohan Lal
Karsog (SC) Assembly Seat candidate Name :Pending
Saraj Assembly Seat candidate Name : Pending
DalhausieAssembly Seat candidate Name : Asha Kumari
Bharmaur (ST) Assembly Seat candidate Name :Thakur Singh Bharmauri
Churah (SC) Assembly Seat candidate Name :Surender Bhardwaj
Chamba Assembly Seat candidate Name :Pending
Bhatiyat Assembly Seat candidate Name :Kuldeep Singh Pathania
Gumarwin Assembly Seat candidate Name : Rajesh Dharmani
N.Devi Assembly Seat candidate Name :Thakur Ram Lal
Jhanduta (SC) Assembly Seat candidate Name : Biru Ram Kishore
BilaspurAssembly Seat candidate Name : Bamber Singh
Lahaul Spiti (ST) Assembly Seat candidate Name :Pending
Shimla Urban Assembly Seat candidate Name :Pending
Shimla Rural Assembly Seat candidate Name : Virbhadra Singh
Jubal Kotkhai Assembly Seat candidate Name :Rohit Thakur
Theog Assembly Seat candidate Name :Vidya Stokes
ChaupalAssembly Seat candidate Name :Shubash Manglet
Kasumpti–Assembly Seat candidate Name : Pending
Rohru (SC) –Mohan Lal Bragta
Rampur (SC) –Nand Lal
Kinnaur (ST) Assembly Seat candidate Name : Jagat Singh Negi
Haroli Assembly Seat candidate Name : Mukesh Agnihotri
Gagret Assembly Seat candidate Name :Rakesh Kalia
Kutleher Assembly Seat candidate Name : Des Raj
Una Assembly Seat candidate Name : Satpal Raizada
Chintpurni (SC) Assembly Seat candidate Name :Kuldeep Kumar
Nalagarh Assembly Seat candidate Name : Lakhvinder Rana
Doon Assembly Seat candidate Name :Ram Kumar
Solan (SC) Assembly Seat candidate Name : Dhani Ram Shandil
Kasauli (SC) Assembly Seat candidate Name : Vinod Sultanpuri
Arki Assembly Seat candidate Name : Pending
Pachaad (SC) Assembly Seat candidate Name : Gangu Ram Musafir
Renuka jee (SC) –Vinay Kumar
ShilaiAssembly Seat candidate Name :Harshvardhan
NahanAssembly Seat candidate Name :Pending
Ponta Sahib Assembly Seat candidate Name :Pending
Kullu (SC) Assembly Seat candidate Name :Sunder Thakur
Banjaar Assembly Seat candidate Name :Karan Singh
Manali Assembly Seat candidate Name :Pending
Anni Assembly Seat candidate Name :Ishwar Dass
Hamirpur Assembly Seat candidate Name :Narinder Thakur
Sujanpur Assembly Seat candidate Name :Anita Verma
Nadaun Assembly Seat candidate Name :Sukhvinder Sukhu
Barsar Assembly Seat candidate Name : Inder Dutt Lakhanpal
Bhoranj (SC) Assembly Seat candidate Name : Pending
Schedule for holding General Election to the Legislative Assembly of Himachal Pradesh, 2012.
S. No. Poll Event Dates ( All 68 ACs)
1. Issue of Notification 10.10.2012 (Wednesday)
2. Last date for making Nominations 17.10.2012(Wednesday)
3. Scrutiny of Nominations 18.10.2012 (Thursday)
4. Last date for withdrawal of candidature 20.10.2012 (Saturday)
5. Date of Poll 04.11.2012 (Sunday)
6. Counting of Votes 20.12.2012 (Thursday)
7. Date before which election process shall be completed 24.12.2012 (Monday)
The total number of Assembly Constituencies in the States of Gujarat and
Himachal Pradesh and the seats reserved for the Scheduled Castes and the
Scheduled Tribes, as determined by the Delimitation of Parliamentary and
Assembly Constituencies Order, 2008, are as under:
State Total No. of ACs Reserved for SC Reserved for ST Gujarat 182 13 27 Himachal Pradesh 68 17 3
List of Assembly constituencies of (HP) and present MLAs